East Texas At Risk of Severe Storms, Tornadoes on Monday Afternoon

Monday afternoon and evening, much of East Texas is at risk of a severe weather outbreak. Hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are anticipated across a swath from Shreveport to Austin, which includes Lufkin/Nacogdoches and Tyler/Longview.

Some of the storms could produce golf-ball-sized hail and winds in excess of 60 mph. Forecasters are also warning that strong tornadoes (111+ mph) are a possibility. The greatest probability of tornadoes on Monday extends from the ArkLaTex through much of East Texas and into the Brazos Valley.

READ MORE: Will East Texas Get Snow This Winter?

Timing Of The Severe Weather

Most computer models indicate that the severe storms will move through the Pineywoods on Monday afternoon and evening. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop off before noon, but the squall line with embedded strong to severe storms is expected between 2 pm and 8 pm.

Flooding Concerns

Heavy downpours will occur with many of these storms; however, the biggest flooding threat will be along the I-20 and I-30 corridor between Dallas and Texarkana. Isolated rainfall amounts up to 4 inches are possible. The Excessive Rainfall Outlook map does include Nacogdoches, Shelby, and other counties to the north in the yellow-shaded, slight risk area for flash flooding on Monday.

Turkey Day Outlook

Colder weather will filter in after Monday's storms. Sunny skies are expected on Thanksgiving Day with a chilly high in the 60s and an overnight low near 40. Rain chances will return by Thanksgiving weekend.